Activity: Population Growth:
The objectives of this activity are to make the student aware of the
difference between exponential and logistic growth, how the growth rate
impacts the existing population, and the importance of studying the world's
population growth.
As you are working through this activity,
write the answers to the questions on a printed copy of this web page and
hand the completed activity to your instructor.
Name:
1. Use the links http://www.jump.net/~otherwise/population/logistic.html
and http://www.jump.net/~otherwise/population/exponent.html
to describe the difference between exponential and logistic growth.
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Question: What is the difference between
exponential and logistic growth?
2. Use the link http://www.jump.net/~otherwise/population/population.html
to give a definition of birth rate.
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Question: What is the definition of birthrate?
Use the link http://www.jump.net/~otherwise/population/exponent.html
in experiments 1 and 2.
Experiment 1:
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Run the Applet. You should leave the applet in the Graph view to
help you interpret the results.
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Click Reset All to clear any past data. Now do a series of simulations
using birth rates of 1.0, 1.2,1.4, 1.6, 1.8, and 2.0. Step or Run the population
for 30 to 40 generations, or until the graph goes off the top of the window.
Be sure to click the Reset button between each simulation in order to start
over but leave the past results in place. Do this now.
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Question: What happens with an average
birth rate of 1.0?
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Question: What happens
with a birth rate of 1.2?
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Question: What happens
as the higher birth rates get larger?
Experiment 2:
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Click Reset All to clear any past data. Set the average birth rate to be
1.5 and Step the population through 15 generations. Now without clicking
either reset button change the birth rate to 0.8. This change means that
each individual is now only producing (on average) 0.8 individuals in the
next generation. You would expect the population size to decline. Step
through 20 or 30 more generations and observe the results.
Use the link http://www.jump.net/~otherwise/population/logistic.html
for
Experiments 3, 4 and 5
Experiment 3:
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In this experiment and those following, you should leave the applet in
the Graph view to help interpret the results. Click Reset All to
clear any past data. Make sure the birth rate is set to 1.5. Now do a series
of simulations using carrying capacities of 200, 400, 600, 800, and 1000.
Step or Run the population for about 30 generations with each value of
carrying capacity. Be sure to click the Reset button between each simulation
in order to start over but leave the past results in place. Do this now.
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Notice that all the curves look similar for the first 10 or 12 generations.
It is not until the population begins to near its carrying capacity that
the curve deviates from the exponential growth curve.
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Question: What does
the term carrying capacity mean?
Experiment 4:
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Click Reset All to clear any past data. Reset the carrying capacity to
1000. Now do a series of simulations using birth rates of 1.2, 1.4,1.6,
1.8, and 2.0. Step or Run the population for about 30 to 40 generations
with each value of birth rate. Be sure to click the Reset button between
each simulation in order to start over but leave the past results in place.
Do this now.
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Question: Does changing
the birth rate affect how quickly the population reaches its carrying capacity?
Does it have an affect on the final population size achieved?
Experiment 5:
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Click Reset All to clear any past data. Make sure the carrying capacity
is set to 1000. Set the birth rate to 3.0 and Step or Run the population
for 40 generations. Here we see something new!
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The population appears to be oscillating around the carrying capacity.
Notice that with birthrates greater than 2.0 the population will overshoot
the carrying capacity and have more offspring than the environment can
support. The following generation, because of this overcrowding, the effective
birth rate will be much less than 1.0 and the population will decline below
the carrying capacity. Then it will overshoot again and the cycle will
be repeated. You will notice that with time the overshoots get less and
less and the population still appears to converge to its carrying capacity.